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Originally Posted by wacor James,
SS is a ponzi scheme. It has been that way for years. ... |
I'm beging to think that you've never met a right-wing sound-bite, that you DIDN'T like!!!...
Thanks to Madov, this kind of thing is all over the news these days, more of the sensationalizing in "media",...
SS is NOT a Ponzi Scheme, for many reasons, the first being that it is not a fraud scheme, the second that it is not an investment plan (there is no promis of asset growth), third, it is structured and is what economists call and "overlaping-generations model" for wealth transfer, which is something that is sustainable; a Ponzi scheme has none of these properties.
That's not to say SS doesn't face some seriously bad progress reports at the moment, it does. But that doesn't make it a Ponzi Scheme, it just needs fixing,... (and the money Congress "borrowed" from it back).
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Ponzi scheme is unsustainable because the number of potential investors is eventually exhausted. That's when the last people to participate are out of luck...
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LINK <---- I found this article a bit "Pollyanna", but this was among his most salient points.
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But there is one enormous difference between Social Security and a Ponzi scheme: Technological change. Over the past century, new technologies have enabled the output of the country to grow much faster than its population. To be more precise, the U.S. population has more than tripled since the early 1900s, while the U.S. economic output has gone up by more than 20 times
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Businessweek <--- yes, yes, I know the article you linked from the Heritage Foundation criticized this very thing, but it did so in the light of problems with SS, NOT in addressing the question of is it or is it not a Ponzi Scheme (a long read, but good link, even with some arguable points presented)
There are similarities, but they are deceptive. The fact that payors into the system are very different from those withdrawing from it, is the key factor to sustainability of the system,... so long as factors remain stable (which they have not), but this, and the fact that it is not a fraudulent "investment", mean it is absolutely NOT a Ponzi Scheme, despite superficial similarities.
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I think if the democrats get re elected in the same numbers that about this time 4 years from now you are going to see some serious talk about rolling our private 401k's into SS.
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Argument to the Future <--- fallacy (the sky isn't falling, it's GOING TO!!!)
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That will be the only way to save SS and provide an infusion of cash to help provide instant funding for health insurance.
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Cherry Picking <--- fallacy (that is NOT the "only way"... as the article you liked to illustrated; so I KNOW you know the truth of this)
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It will be the final coup detat by the liberals under the guise of doing what is best for us. Cradle to grave baby.
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<--- And that's just plain fear-mungering,... based on fallacious arguments (as usual)
The first step in getting better is to admit you have a problem!!!

You have got to stop smoking that stuff!!!
Now arguments/debate asside, IMHO... SS is in a jam, but I doubt it will be "allowed to fail", I think it will be an 11th hour fix, and that it will hurt a lot, and that whom ever is in office at the time will be forced to do it and Congress to support this, it will be the ONE issue that the LARGEST voting block of Americans will have in common; so if it is not saved from the cliff's edge, then ALL of Washington will likely be voted out of office!!! And the replacements will all win on the promise to "fix it". This is what I expect, but can't really argue.
Thanks,
J.
