Quote:
|
Originally Posted by saikee jiml8,
Let me hijack this to ask your opinion on a dumb question
The central computers, where the Unix systems used to be devloped and resided, have been killed off by the PCs because of the cost consideration. What have been left are the Unix software without a proper home to go to.
Linux is a major effort to fit a Unix-based into the PC architecture. With time and the effort by the people who used to work on it Linux has matured to a point to pose a real threat to the original operating systems of the PC. As you said quite rightly Unix system is a mainframe-computer class system and will outgun the little Windoze given a bit of time.
Do you think we are going to see the Linux/Unix system finally taking over the PC simply it is a superior system? Many countries are now switching to Linux because it is now a people's system developed jointly by a large number of nations. |
I will point out the following. First, mainframes are far from dead. Second, Unix has existed on small computers and workstations since at least the early '80s (Apollo Domain, Sun), and actually made it to the microcomputer environment on the Amiga around '88. Linux is just an independently developed, freely distributable variant that happens to have been developed on PC class computers, but PC class computers have become genuinely formidable in terms of their capabilities.
There is also BSD, which has been around for a long time.
No, I don't think Windows will succumb because Unix/Linux is superior. The heterogeneity of Unix as an environment is its strength technologically, but its weakness WRT the end user. Until a uniform, reliable, and non-quirky means of deploying packages and updates is available, its acceptance among the masses will be limited.
What is interesting is that Linux and Windows are headed in diametrically opposed directions philosophically, and I propose that one philosophy will wind up killing off the other philosophy.
Windows, driven by Microsoft, Intel, and most media conglomerates, is headed firmly in the direction of "handcuffware" - strong, hardware based digital rights management - which will cause the user to literally lose control of his own computer. It will also have the effect of ending completely the spyware/adware/virus problems that are presently plaguing microsoft, since those programs will simply be denied the right to run.
It could be called the "fascist" model of computing; computing by the corporation for the corporation. Safe, except for the privacy threats abetted by the corporation, but limiting in that the user is severely restricted in what he is allowed by the hardware and the operating system to do. If both Intel and AMD sign on to this, and if regulators succeed in driving the internet this way, then this philosophy will win.
Opposed to this philosophy is the entire open systems movement, which consists of users small and large, scattered all over the globe. Linux is the current poster child of the OS movement, and happens to be leading the charge in the direction of anarchy and independence in computing. This environment is presently much more secure than the Windows environment, partly by design and partly due to heterogeneity. Also, of course, Unix is superior technologically to Windows.
But this heterodoxy makes a problem for the ordinary user who just wants the thing to work reliably, without having to become a technical expert. Mostly I think that problem is being solved by the better distros, but it isn't completely solved yet and, until it is, acceptance of Linux will be limited.
The OS movement could be called the Libertarian movement of computing, and those of us who seriously use Linux or BSD, and who vigorously resist regulation of the internet, are striking blows for freedom.
Fifteen years from now, I submit that either the fascist environment or the libertarian environment will be the exclusive environment. I cannot say that I know which will win, but it seems to me that one must win and one must lose.
Windows is the poster child for the fascist environment; Linux is the poster child for the Libertarian environment. One will live and one will die, but technological superiority will have nothing to do with it.