[golddust]

I make it a habit to unplug my hi-def tv and the cable connection at the first sound of a rumble, or if we are going out. Computers get turned off shortly after - and power plug unplugged if really strong storm - as well as pulling the cat5 cables from our router, just in case in a really bad storm. If we are going to out all day - we take those precautions before leaving the house.

[golddust]

Remember folks, if you live in hurricane country, now is the time to get your shutters prepared, if you haven't already done so. Looking for corrugated aluminum to make your own shutters? Get it now, cut out the pieces to fit your windows. We have ours all set and packed away in the shed for two years now. Hope we never need them, but they are there if we do.

Shuttering your house will get you better insurance company and FEMA financial help since you took steps to protect your property. Also, cut down those large trees near your house - another item insurance companies and FEMA look at.

By the way, if your neighbor has a large tree and it falls across and hits your house - their insurance company should pick up the tab!!!

[Jason08]

While it's been unusually quiet in the Atlantic so far, it's been fairly active in the Eastern Pacific, with T.S. Enrique and Hurricane Felicia.

[golddust]

Well it looks like Atlantic Hurricane Season '09 is heating up. We now have TD #2 (#1 was back in May - just before the season officially started). This is the latest news on the storm. It's still a long ways off and anything can happen. As major changes occur I will post new info with more frequent updates as it approaches the US.




Tropical Depression TWO Public Advisory
Home Public Adv Fcst/Adv Discussion Wind Probs Maps/Charts Archive

000
WTNT32 KNHC 120832
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
500 AM AST WED AUG 12 2009

...DEPRESSION HAS NOT STRENGTHENED YET...

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 32.4 WEST OR ABOUT 535
MILES...860 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH
SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...14.6N 32.4W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

[Jason08]

Still a depression as of 11AM advisory. However, there is a strong low behind it, and there's talk on The Weather Channel earlier this morning that the GFS model is taking the low as a hurricane at Florida, and a couple hours later, the GFS shifted 100 miles north. That's about 10-15 days out, and a lot can change…

[golddust]

Definitely a long ways off yet and anything can happen. I don't put much stock in the Weather Channel with hurricane predictions however. Here in Florida we have seen them 'muck up' numerous times. Here in the Tampa Bay area of Florida we have BayNews9 which has the most sophisticated radar around right now. This area was chosen to get this new technology first because of our weather. Our local meteorologists are much better at monitoring these storms because of all the practice they get. Our residents really depend on them for the latest along with the National Hurricane Center which is located in Miami, FL.

[golddust]

Tropical Depression #2 is showing signs of weakening - of course that's only speculation at the present time according to the National Hurricane Center. It's the weather system behind it that is getting the most attention right now.

[Jason08]

I was hearing this morning that the NHC is trying to get T.D. 2 named, but yeah, on the visible satellite, it looks like it's barley holding on. Also on TWC, they talked about how different the model runs are with the tropical wave behind, that between yesterday the models (GFS) is taking the hurricane towards New Orleans, another for Florida, then further up the East Coast. But get this: the time the GFS has it hitting the US, Sunday, August 23rd on one model, and Tuesday the 25th with a different model run! So there is a lot that can really change 10-12 days out, especially since it isn't even a depression now.

[golddust]

Wow, August 23rd, that's the same date Andrew hit south Florida.

[golddust]

We have our first Tropical Storm of the season TS Ana. Projected impact around southern Florida on Thursday, Aug 20. Presently, it looks like Ana will have little if any strengthening - we could use the rain and tropical storms can do enough damage on their own.



BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
1100 AM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

...ANA...PRONOUNCED AH-NA...MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY
BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.3 WEST OR ABOUT
920 MILES...1480 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

ANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF ANA NEAR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...14.3N 48.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

[golddust]

Things are really heating up now. We have a second tropical storm riding on Ana's heels. Tropical Storm Bill.



BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009
500 PM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

CORRECTED TO FIRST PARAGRAPH...SHOULD SAY TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE

...TROPICAL STORM BILL...THE SECOND TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON
FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE HAS
STRENGTHENED AND HAS BECOME TROPICAL STORM BILL..THE SECOND NAME
CYCLONE OF THE SEASON. AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF
THE TROPICAL STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE
35.2 WEST OR ABOUT 820 MILES...1320 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.

BILL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...11.3N 35.2W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 16 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

[Jason08]

I was a bit surprised an Intermediate advisory was issued for T.S. Ana.

[golddust]

Well, at least they aren't predicting strengthening for Ana - although it looked like she would fall apart for a while and now is holding together. Storms like that have to be watched closely. They didn't predict Andrew was going to be much and then that storm turned out to be a mean one.

[golddust]

Well, folks in the Florida Panhandle will awaken to a surprise today. Overnight TD #4 formed in the Gulf of Mexico, and may well be a Tropical Depression before it makes landfall tonight or tomorrow morning. The storm started as a tropical low that crossed the Florida peninsula yesterday, then gained strength and organized when it entered the Gulf of Mexico.




BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042009
800 AM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009

...DEPRESSION MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...HEADING FOR THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST OF FLORIDA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER EASTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST OR ABOUT
125 MILES...200 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16
MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION SHOULD BE VERY NEAR
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST OF FLORIDA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO REACHING THE COASTLINE.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA NEAR THE PATH
OF THE CENTER.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER
MAKES LANDFALL.

...SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...28.1N 84.1W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.

[Jason08]

Bill's winds now up to 60MPH. A strong cold front is expected to cross way up here late next week into the weekend, so there's a chance it could play a role in the track of Bill about a week out.