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Here comes Isabel

3K views 63 replies 17 participants last post by  LANMaster 
#1 ·
Ok Hurricane Isabel is mosying it's way toward the northeast. Fortunate thing about being here is the cold water does slow hurricanes down a bit. Of course our coast may have flooding problems.

"I" indicating this is the ninth of the hurricane season, this will be the first one to significantly hit land in the eastern states this season.

One thing about Hurricanes though I have been fortuante enough never to experience a direct hit or feel the brunt of a big one when they are big and formed there is NO comparison between them and a tornado.

Hurricane Isabel continued to weaken Monday, but it was still packing 140-mph winds on a course that could see it hit land somewhere between North Carolina and New Jersey by Thursday night. Some coastal residents were already evacuating, while the Navy prepared to move some of its aircraft carriers out to sea.

rest of story

http://www.msnbc.com/news/961894.asp?0cv=CB10
 
#2 ·
Predicted Storm path...
as of 9/15 3:28pm Eastern

Anyone want to put a Sig bet on where its gonna hit first! :D :D

 

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#3 ·
Does D not remember Floyd ??? !!! :eek:

khaki's jeep had it's electrical system shorted-out while driving through that one :(

Floyd was a nasty bugger....
I sure hope that Isabel acts more lady-like and spares us her ferocious side ;)

Here is the surf report for NJ this week (looks sorta ominous, huh? :eek: )

Tuesday, September the 16th: We're expecting an increase in Swell energy. Swell will be coming in from 155 degrees with 5 to 7 foot surf with 16 second periods.

Wednesday, September the 17th: Our call is for an increase in Swell energy compared to yesterday. Swell will be coming in from 153 degrees with 7 to 11 foot surf with 14 second periods.

Thursday, September the 18th: We're expecting an increase in Swell energy. Swell will be coming in from 152 degrees with 21 to 30 foot surf with 16 second periods.

Friday, September the 19th: Our call is for an increase in Swell energy compared to yesterday. Swell will be coming in from 145 degrees with 32 to 46 foot surf with 16 second periods.

Saturday, September the 20th: Look for a decrease in Swell energy from yesterday. Swell will be coming in from 160 degrees with 7 to 10 foot surf with 10 second periods.


strap-in guys.... here she comes ;)
 
#4 ·
Hopeful news just in:

In the picture, notice how the eye of the storm if distinctly off-centre? The rotating disc is also clearly non-circular. This denotes an unstable system and hopefully this will rob the hurricane of some of its energy. (Map courtesy Theweathernetwork.com. My highlights)

 

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#7 ·
according to that map....
and if my calcualtions are correct...
it's about 12 past 9 (give or take a minute)
LOL khaki!! :D But is that Eastern time?
 
#9 ·
(CNN) -- The forecast ferocity of Hurricane Isabel prompted Congress to consider leaving Washington early, spurred the U.S. military to deploy some of its ships and aircraft, and had residents from North Carolina to Maryland closely monitoring the latest weather reports.

"If Isabel stays close to our forecast track and if it does make landfall as a major hurricane, it has the potential for large loss of life if we don't take it seriously and prepare," National Hurricane Center Director Max Mayfield told CNN.

At 5 a.m. EDT, Isabel was about 660 miles (1,065 kilometers) south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The storm was moving northwest at 7 mph (11 kph), a motion that was expected to continue over the next 24 hours.

Satellite imagery and reports from a hurricane hunter plane showed the storm had become less organized overnight Tuesday.

The Hurricane Center said the may issue a hurricane watch for portions of the mid-Atlantic coast later Tuesday.

The three-day forecast track shows Isabel's center striking North Carolina's Pamlico Sound -- about 45 miles north of Morehead City and 120 miles east of Raleigh -- at 2 p.m. EDT Thursday, then turning north, slightly inland of Chesapeake Bay.

Isabel's maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 115 mph (185 kph), with higher gusts, making it a solid Category 3 storm. That was slightly weaker than the system had been over the weekend, but Mayfield warned that the storm was still "very dangerous."

"I would expect to see extensive damage to a pretty large section of the country" if the hurricane sticks to the forecast track, Mayfield told CNN. "It's been a long time since we've had a hurricane on this track."

As the hurricane lumbers closer to shore, the American Red Cross is warning that its Disaster Relief Fund is empty. The relief organization says coastal residents can still depend on it to provide food, clothing, shelter and medication replacement. But unless donations start pouring in, the Red Cross won't be able to provide financial assistance to hurricane victims.

With his state possibly in the bull's-eye for Isabel, Virginia Gov. Mark Warner declared a state of emergency Monday, warning of the potential for significant coastal and inland flooding, damaging winds and tornadoes throughout the state.

Leaders in the U.S. House and Senate considered shortening their work week because of the storm. Leadership aides on both sides of the aisle said they would likely work through Wednesday before taking off, but the final call would not be made before Tuesday, when forecasters have a clearer picture of Isabel's path.

Although the center of Isabel is forecast to hit North Carolina Thursday afternoon, Mayfield said, the first tropical storm-force winds could show up at the coast late Wednesday. Those winds extend outward as far as 205 miles (328 kilometers) from the center.

"We could very well have a hurricane watch issued sometime even tomorrow morning, and then the warning will follow probably tomorrow evening," Mayfield said.

Large ocean swells and dangerous surf conditions are being seen along parts of the U.S. mid-Atlantic coastline
 
#10 ·
The Projected path has shifted south slightly since yesterday.... (I think it may of been caused by all those 'damn yankees' comments by southerners yesterday :rolleyes: )

 

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#11 ·
Jersey Has Long History Of Escaping Hurricanes
Last Hurricane Hit New Jersey 100 Years Ago

POSTED: 1:26 p.m. EDT September 15, 2003
UPDATED: 3:26 p.m. EDT September 15, 2003

The Garden State has enjoyed a long streak of escaping hurricanes' landfall brunt.

Forecasters say New Jersey is an unlikely location for Hurricane Isabel to hit land.

But if the powerful storm did hit, it would be the first since 1903.

State climatologist David Robinson says 100 years ago, a weak hurricane struck Atlantic City. That was 50 years before the storms were given names.

In 1979, remnants of Hurricane David caused widespread flooding and wind damage in New Jersey.

Other storms, including Floyd in 1999 and Gloria in 1985, also brought heavy rains, flooding and other damage.

One ominous sign for New Jersey currently is that the reservoirs are full and it could take less rain to cause heavy flooding.
 
#14 ·
to post your images:

after you make your post...
right-click the image link...
select Copy Shortcut (if using IE) or Copy Link Location (if using Netscape or Moz)...
Edit your post...
Click the grey IMG button...
Paste the path into the dialog box...

and that's it.

Let me know if you need me to explain that better
(or if you are having trouble)

:)
 
#25 ·
When they said earlier that it might go right up through NY to canada, I worried. We are never affected being so close to the border.

Looks like we will get some heavy rain here. Of course that means we will lose our satellite dish signal. Always happens during rain. :mad:
 
#26 ·
Val: Must be an act of God in your case.....you're giving up the net and here comes some help with the tv! :D Now kill the radio, unplug the stereo and spend some quality time with Carl and the kids! :) See...divine intervention! :) Take care! angel :)
 
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